Dear Shareholders,
The Indian economy continues to be the fastest growing major economy in
the world, backed by strong private consumption, higher capital expenditure, and a robust
financial sector. With a GDP growth of 8.2% in FY'24, the country is well-positioned
to become a $5 trillion economy by 2027-28 and surpass Germany and Japan to become the
third largest economy in the world.
Such an economic expansion has visible footprints in the country's
power sector. Electricity, being the core of all industrial and commercial activity, saw a
consequent surge in demand in FY'24. Power consumption rose 7.7 percent on YoY basis
to reach 1,622 billion units (BU) in FY '24. India's daily peak power demand reached
240 GW in September 2023, whi.ch was the highest-ever daily peak recorded in the country.
Recently in May 2024, India met a record maximum power demand of 250 GW. It is projected
that India would contribute approximately 25 percent of the total global energy demand
growth over the next 15 years. As per the CEA, electricity consumption is expected to
increase at a rate of over 6 percent per annum to reach 2,279 BU by 2030. This provides a
large growth potential for the country's electricity sector.
India's present installed capacity is at 442 GW with renewable
capacity of 191 GW, which is 43 percent of total capacity. Having added nearly 19 GW of RE
capacity in FY'24, India had one of the fastest renewable energy (RE) capacity
addition among major economies in this financial year. To meet India's growing
electricity demand, the Government has already put in place capacity addition plans for
both thermal and renewable power. Around 15GW of thermal capacity is expected to be
commissioned in FY'25. About 50GW or more thermal capacity will be added in the next
4-5 years. Additionally, 140GW of green energy capacity is under tendering and
implementation. Already the Ministry of
Power has planned to add 50GW of RE capacity every year to achieve
500GW RE capacity by 2030.
To enable renewable power integration with the grid, the Ministry of
Power has finalised Viability Gap Funding mechanism to develop Battery Energy Storage
Systems (BESS) in the country. To begin with, BESS capacity of 4,000 MWh will be developed
on this proposed model. Under this model, BESS would be able to store surplus solar power
during day-time and deliver electricity during hours of peak demand and also be able to
stabilize the grid by providing ancillary services. One of the options considered for
charging and discharging of the BESS is through Power Exchanges. Additionally, the
Government is also pushing the Green Hydrogen Mission with 125 GW of green energy
requirement for Green Hydrogen of 5 million tonnes per annum by 2030.
While global economies have been severely impacted due to supply
disruptions caused by adverse geopolitical events over the last two years, the Indian
economy has managed these intermittent crises well. Policy interventions by the Government
of India have helped increase domestic fuel production and eased supply constraints.
Contrary to last year, we are now witnessing a scenario where there is no fuel shortage.
India's coal production increased 11.7% YoY to nearly touch 1,000 million tonnes in
FY'24. The Ministry of
Coal's Shakti Policy has also allowed power plants, including
private generators without PPAs, to sell power in all market segments of Power Exchanges.
Premium on coal under Shakti B8 auction came down to around 20% by the end of FY'24
and coal inventory was at a comfortable 20 days. Overall, the fuel crisis witnessed last
fiscal subsided in FY'24.
As India marches towards achieving its net zero target, there is bound
to be a much larger role of Power Exchanges in the country's energy landscape. The
draft National Electricity Policy (2023) aims to increase the share of exchanges to 25
percent by 2030, underlining their importance in the energy transition of the nation.
Globally, Power Exchanges have played a crucial role in reducing the cost of renewable
integration and providing efficient price signals for newer capacity addition. Power
markets in India too are poised to serve as catalysts for accelerating this renewable
generation capacity addition in the country.
POLICY AND REGULATORY ENABLERS THAT DEEPENED POWER MARKETS
During FY'24 there were some noteworthy policy and regulatory
initiatives that continued to deepen India's power markets and accelerate energy
transition towards sustainability and self-sufficiency. Some of these key initiatives
were:
The Ministry of Power notified the amended Late Payment
Surcharge Rules which mandates generators having PPAs to offer surplus URS power for sale
on the Power Exchange. These rules also provide for penalty in terms of reduced fixed
charges to Gencos if they fail to offer URS power in the market. This has improved sell
liquidity on the Exchange platform. Already we are witnessing around 50- 60 MU of URS
power being offered on the Exchange on a daily basis.
Notably, the most important regulatory developments of
FY'24 were implementation of the Indian Electricity Grid Code (IEGC); the Sharing of
Inter-State Transmission Charges Regulations (ISTS); and the GNA Regulations. Since the
implementation of GNA Regulations in October 2023, regulatory anomalies between the
bilateral and Day Ahead Market have been removed. Consequently, volumes in the Day Ahead
Contingency (DAC) Market have declined, while those in the Day Ahead Market have
increased. Volume in the DAC market in H2 FY'24 was 690 million units in comparison
to nearly 4.2 billion units in HI FY'24, a decline of 84%.
The Ministry of Power amended the Electricity Rules paving way
for rationalizisation of wheeling charges and additional surcharge for Green Energy Open
Access consumers.
The CEA finalized a plan for thermal plants to bring their
technical minimum operation up to 40%, compared to the current 55%. This will facilitate
the integration of more renewable energy capacity and improve grid efficiency.
The CEA also amended the procedures for cross border trade in
electricity, allowing for trade through Real Time Markets operated by Power Exchanges.
This has led to increased cross border volumes on the exchange. For FY'24, 4.0 BUs in
Cross Border power was traded on exchange, an increase of 52% over last fiscal. A report
on BIMSTEC Energy Outlook 2035 estimates cross border electricity trade potential in the
region can increase up to 7 times, from 16BU in 2020 to 127 BU in 2035. This will increase
CBET volumes at Exchanges.
REC trading on Power Exchanges has been increased to twice a
month. Further, different types of RECs are now fungible as one. Consequently, liquidity
has increased in the REC market. Also because of the removal of REC base price, REC prices
have come down, leading to increased REC sale volume. At 75 lakh certificates REC volume
was higher by nearly 27% in FY'24 over FY'23. Since the new REC regulations,
prices have continually become more competitive and were traded at a the lowest ever price
of Rs 140 in the REC trading session held in June 2024 as against Rs 1,000 in April 2023.
These changes should further incentivise obligated entities to buy RECs to meet their
Renewable Purchase Obligations.
All these policy and regulatory measures improved sell side liquidity
in the Day Ahead and Real Time Market on the exchange by 17% YoY and helped soften power
prices. DAM prices declined to Rs 5.24/unit in FY'24 from Rs 5.94/ unit in
FY'23, a decline of 12% YoY. As prices continue to remain competitive and follow a
further downward trajectory, it is expected to present an opportunity for Discoms and
Commercial & Industrial consumers to optimize their power procurement cost.
In May 2023, the expert group constituted by the Ministry of Power for
'Development of Electricity Market in India' charted out a road map for deepening the
power market and in accelerating smooth integration of renewable energy into the grid.
The expert group took cues from countries such as UK, Germany etc.
which were able to increase their renewable energy penetration to more than 30% by
implementing market-based reforms such as Contract for Difference (CFD). The CFD model is
preferred globally, as it ensures no hassles of signing rigid PPAs, ensures regular
payments, and there is no curtailment of power. Looking at international experiences, the
total capacity awarded through CfD auction in UK stands at 33.7 GW. Similarly, Germany
added 15 GWs in capacity through CfD auctions till 2020 and their target is for the
electricity grid to be 80% renewables based by 2030. The Government of India is also
considering CFD model for accelerating capacity addition in India.
The report on 'Development of Electricity Market in India' also
includes the proposal to introduce financial products for electricity to hedge against
price volatility in spot markets which will lead to further deepening of power markets.
The recognition of the inefficiency and inflexibility of long- term PPAs is expected to
result in a stronger role of Power Exchanges and enable efficiency in electricity
procurement.
Other market models that are being prominently used by many corporates
is Virtual PPAs - a bilateral agreement signed between the power producer (RE generator)
and industries/corporates at an agreed contract price. With this model, renewable
generator can sell power on the exchanges in the competitive price segment, while the
green attribute of that power is given to the industry with whom the Virtual PPA is
signed. Difference between the PPA price and market price is borne by the PPA holders.
This can promote innovation, flexibility, attract investment, and accelerate capacity
addition in the renewable sector and would also help in meeting net zero targets set by
corporates.
These initiatives will pave the way to achieve India's net zero
targets by increasing the sustainability and viability of the country's power sector.
International experience shows that in well developed power markets, Power Exchanges have
played a key role in reducing the cost of RE integration. In India as well, such models
are being considered and will help in RE capacity addition. IEX will remain at the
forefront of this transition by constantly innovating to meet the evolving needs of all
stakeholders.
It is important to mention that as a follow up to the letter shared in
June 2023 by the Ministry of Power with the CERC with regards Market Coupling, the CERC
released a Staff paper on Market Coupling in August 2023. Comments on the Staff paper from
stakeholders were open till October 2023. Over 70% of respondents to the Staff paper were
not in favour of market coupling. Subsequently, in an order of CERC dated 6th of February
2024, CERC has made one thing clear that based on simulation studies for 3 months of
January, February, March data of '23, they found that there is practically no merit in
coupling of plain vanilla DAM market or RTM market. In that order, one part of the issue
has been addressed which is that there is no advantage of plain vanilla coupling. Basis
the stakeholder comment, CERC is exploring if there is any advantage of coupling RTM
market with the SCED i.e Security Constrained Economic Dispatch, which is operated by Grid
India. CERC in its order dated 6th Feb 24 on shadow pilot study on market coupling,
directed Grid India to develop software for shadow pilot within two months of the order
and after that run simulation for next 4 months. The recent amendment in Late Payment
Surcharge Rules 2022, mandate sale of unrequisitioned power (URS) on the Exchanges in DAM
& RTM. The mandatory sell of URS power in DAM & RTM will lead to optimum
utilization of capacity and any further optimization by coupling SCED and RTM may not lead
to any significant value. Therefore, it is expected that the shadow pilot being
implemented by Grid-India will not yield any significant gain. We don't see any merit
in Market Coupling. We do believe that even if there is a small gain, there will be
numerous complexities in its implementation, and hence Market Coupling will not be
feasible.
TECHNOLOGY AND CUSTOMER CENTRICITY
By prioritizing customer centricity, our technology team ensures that
IEX's platform closely aligns with the ever- changing needs of India's dynamic
energy sector. We continue to leverage technology and innovation to launch market-
friendly products and increase efficiency of operations. We have made continuous
improvements to our software and hardware infrastructure to ensure high availability,
reliability, and security of our technology platform. IEX has introduced API based bidding
for all products across the Electricity and the Certificate segments to ease the bidding
experience of our customers and reduce manual interventions. In FY'24 we also started
offering an anytime, anywhere, intuitive experience to our customers through our web-based
platform, ENERGX. The platform provides customers with digital registration, market data
insights, easy financial reconciliation, effective user access management, and web-based
bidding.
As part of our robust Business Continuity Planning (BCP), we have
implemented solutions to enable us to have an automated and seamless switch of our entire
exchange operations from our Data Center (DC) to Disaster Recovery (DR). We have
implemented best-in-class cyber and data security solutions to ensure robust and secure
operations through our platform. Our 24x7 Security Operating Center (SOC) ensures a risk
free trading experience for our customers.
As India strides towards its net-zero journey, IEX aims to be at the
forefront of adopting new technologies and innovations, to forge ahead with new
opportunities presented by a sustainable energy future.
SOCIAL CONNECT
As a socially responsible corporate citizen committed to facilitate
India's decarbonisation targets, your company has voluntarily become carbon-neutral
for the second year running and continues to be India's only Power Exchange to do so.
This initiative will also enable our members and clients to green up their value chain.
Your company remains steadfast in supporting inclusive and sustainable
growth of the nation. IEX consciously aims to positively impact the community across
sections, in various ways. During the year, we collaborated with the Sabhyata Foundation
for promoting and protecting India's culture, art, and heritage. Your company has
supported the foundation in its initiative of restoration, preservation, and promotion of
national culture and heritage at the Red Fort Monument which is designated as a UNESCO
World Heritage site.
International experience shows : that in well developed power markets,
Power Exchanges have played a key role in reducing the cost of RE integration. In India as
well, market models are being considered and will help in RE capacity addition.
IEX BUSINESS
In our 16th year of business, the IEX platform has registred over 7,900
participants, and has been able to introduce efficiency, transparency, and flexibility in
trade, and payment security across the entire power sector value chain. These milestones
have been possible only due to the unwavering faith and support of all our partners,
employees, and stakeholders.
In FY'24, IEX achieved traded volumes of 110 billion units, a
growth of 13.8% over FY'23. Electricity volumes at nearly 102 BUs crossed 100 BUs for
the first time since inception and were higher by 12% YoY. A total of nearly 84 lakh
Certificates including RECs and ESCERTs were traded for the fiscal, higher by nearly 37%.
In FY'24 we launched the Ancillary market, the High-Priced Term
Ahead market, and are currently awaiting approval from the CERC on our petition to extend
the term-ahead market contract from 90 days to 11 months.
The good news is that the overall short-term market in India is
increasing. According to data from CERC, up till March 2024, the Short-Term market has
grown to account for about 13% of the country's overall generation, up from 12% in
FY'23. And within the short-term market, Exchanges share has increased to more than
50%. This is an encouraging trend and points towards the deepening of power markets.
However, there is still a need to increase the share of Exchanges in the country. At 8% of
overall generation, we are still a distant number compared with European countries which
trade over 50% of generation through Power Exchanges.
For the full fiscal year 2024, on a consolidated basis, revenue
increased by 16.1 percent on a YoY basis, from Rs 474.1Cr in FY'23 to Rs 550.8 Cr in
FY'24. Consolidated PAT at Rs 350.8 Cr grew 14.7 percent on YoY basis as compared to
Rs 305.9 Cr in FY'23.
In FY'24, IEX achieved traded : volumes of 110 billion units, a growth
of 13.8% over FY'23.
For fiscal year 2024, the Board of the Directors of the Company
announced total dividend of Rs 2.5/- equivalent to 250 percent of the face value of equity
shares.
With the launch of new products, investment in technology and
innovation, customer centric initiatives, and an increase in country's power
consumption, your company expects to grow even more strongly as compared to previous years
while continuing to accentuate the country's energy sector value chain.
INDIA'S PREMIER GAS EXCHANGE
Aligned with the Government's vision to double the share of
natural gas in India's energy basket to 15 percent by 2030, the Indian Energy
Exchange (IEX) launched the Indian Gas Exchange (IGX) in 2020. IGX is India's first
national level gas exchange for physical delivery of natural gas. In the three years since
inception, the exchange has traded a cumulative of 100 million MMBtU in volumes to command
about 10 percent of the natural gas spot market share in the country.
Due to wide variations in price and demand and supply of gas in
FY'24, IGX traded 41 million MMBtu of gas and registered a profit of Rs 23 crores.
The IGX currently offers delivery- based trade at multiple delivery points across four
regional gas hubs in India - Western Hub, Southern Hub, Eastern Hub, Central Hub.
There have been many positives for IGX in FY'24 such as DGH
Empanelment which now enables domestic producers to auction their gas through IGX;
allowing fertilizer manufactures to buy domestic gas through IGX on a pilot basis; and
approval to launch small scale LNG contracts for trading. In FY'23, IGX had launched
the Gas Index of India (GIXI), which was the first-ever nation-wide price index to reflect
the benchmark natural gas price for India. In FY'24, IGX signed an MoU with GSPC to
develop the Hydrogen Price Index in Gift City and with S&P Global Platts to launch
Long Duration Contracts (LDC) with linkage to indices such as WIM, JKM, Brent etc.
IGX continues to work with the Ministry, Regulator, market participants
and other stakeholders to realise the nation's dream of building a sustainable energy
future through a vibrant gas market.
WAY FORWARD
As India marches towards achieving its net zero targets by 2070, there
will be a much larger role of Power Exchanges in the country's energy landscape. With
India's GDP projected to grow at a robust 7-8 percent per annum for the next few
years, and the consequent electricity demand growth, the power sector remains poised for
growth and innovation.
Towards the end of FY'24 Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS)
gained some traction as we witnessed a drastic fall in BESS discovered rates from nearly
Rs 11/kWh to about ~3.66/ kWh for two cycle operations per day and these rates are
expected to further decline by the end of this calendar year due to significant over
capacity of BESS manufacturing. This would make BESS more viable and is likely to increase
BESS participation for sale of power during peak hours in power markets. Additionally,
Firm and Dispatchable RE (FDRE) and Round the Clock (RTC) tenders are also gaining
traction and Exchanges would play a key role to support these innovations in meeting
Discoms demand and RPO targets. These contracts will have surplus generation capacity and
Exchanges can play an important role in providing sell option for these. Further, 5% of
annual commitment in FDRE can be purchased for GDAM.
To further create a liquid Green Market at the exchange, we have
constantly advocated the use of market-based options for RE capacity addition such as CfD,
Virtual PPAs and merchant models. The Ministry of Power is exploring to set up 1,000 MW of
RE capacity through the CfD model. Similarly, VPPA models have been successful among
corporates in the US market, and in the case of India as well, we see interest among
C&I players to use this model for accumulating green credits. Currently, more than 1
GW of RE capacity under VPPA and merchant model is participating at IEX and further, it is
expected to increase to ~ 2.5 GW by end of FY'25.
Further, as a part of their Net Zero goals, Indian arms of large
multinational companies have also begun to advocate 24x7 RE supply matching with the
actual consumption. From a market perspective, we see a future for products which can
solve the liquidity concerns in Green Markets, risk of deviation exposure for RE and meet
the 24x7 RE targets of corporates. We are working towards developing the Green RTM product
which will be an hour ahead market like the conventional RTM, subject to the approval of
the CERC.
With the announcement of the Prime Minister's Surya-Ghar policy for
promoting and installing Roof Top Solar (RTS), an emerging trend in India's energy
transition is the potential for developing local energy markets such as P2P trading. Going
forward, with large scale Roof top solar, there would be a need to transition from a
subsidy-based mechanism (Net Metering) to a market-based mechanism (P2P Trading). While
some States such as Uttar Pradesh, Karnataka and Delhi have taken a lead in framing
guidelines and regulations, we expect other States to follow through in the next few years
as roof top solar capacities rise. IEX, along with ISGF and Power Ledger, are evaluating
opportunities to set up P2P energy market in states.
The REC market which commenced on exchanges in 2011 has been playing an
important role in fulling the RPO requirements of Obligated consumers and is an important
enabler to facilitate decarbonization in India. With an inventory of more than 30 million
certificates and a sharp decline in prices to Rs 140 per certificate as compared to Rs
1,000 per certificate a year ago, there is a lot of opportunity for obligated entities to
fulfil their RPO obligation and voluntary customers to meet their sustainability
aspiration.
Additionally, the government's thrust on green hydrogen and green
energy storage solutions, such as pumped storage, battery, hydrogen etc., will lead to
innovation of new products and market segments. With India's NDC target of reducing
emission intensity of its GDP by 45% (with respect to 2005 levels) and to become a Net
Zero emitter by 2070, the journey ahead for power markets is full of opportunities.
Technology driven solutions leveraging futuristic technologies such as
API based solutions and Robotic Process Automations, will automate market operation
processes for greater efficiency. Your company will continue to assess and leverage new
opportunities to deliver highest value to all stakeholders and to the country as a whole.
The power sector is undergoing rapid visible shift. We are witnessing
many Regulatory and Government initiatives aimed at deepening the power markets to achieve
the objectives of India's energy transition. Your company's strong governance structure,
ethics and business fundamentals will continue to deliver the country's vision for
economic and energy transition. As it has for over a decade, IEX will collaborate with all
stakeholders, including policymakers, regulators, system operators, market participants,
members, clients, and partners, to develop the country's energy market and foray into new
growth opportunities that maximise stakeholder value.
With warm regards, |
Satyanarayan Goel |
Chairman and Managing Director |