To be well positioned in India at this time is to be Lucky. AIS with 37
years of sweat and expertise has earned the Right to Step Up its performance and ride the
great and evolving India Story.
Dear Shareholders,
FY 2023-24 was definitely a year of many surprises. Most of these were
happy, positive ones but a few were cause for reflection and countermeasures.
A simple 2X2 matrix of macro and micro is quite illustrative:
|
Positives |
Negatives |
|
India GDP 8.2 % for FY 2023-24 |
Mid-East War |
|
FY 2024-25 estimate 6.5% - 7% |
Ukraine War |
|
6-7% possible till 2030 |
Global Protectionism |
|
Indian election Policy continuity |
|
|
Infiation expectation 4-6% |
|
|
Massive increase in investments foreseen |
Consumption (mass) needs pick up |
|
CAD 0.7 %. FX Reserves $ 650 B+ |
Investment (private) needs pick up |
MACRO |
Fiscal deficit better: 6.4 % to 5.6 %, 4.9% by FY
2024-25 |
Employment improvement required |
|
China impact: Import localisation |
Tension with China |
|
: Export de-risking opportunity |
|
|
India becoming global center for R&D,
Digitalization, IT, Exports |
|
|
Reduction in probability of global recession |
|
|
Infiation getting better |
|
|
US interest rates in the near future |
|
|
Auto & Architectural Glass Industry future is
bright |
|
|
Confluence of internal and external factors |
Margins Compression evident in economy |
|
Internal: Fast response |
Auto performance needs improvement |
|
Auto |
Cost Increases more than any gains. |
|
Volume and Value growth driven by high value-added
products and premiumization |
Effect on Margins |
|
FY 2022-23 EBITDA: 266 |
Quality Standards tightening |
|
FY 2023-24 EBITDA: 430 |
|
|
FY 2026-27:? |
|
|
Opportunity in Auto Services |
Need better performance in downstream units |
MICRO |
Float |
Start of 2 new Float plants. Reduction in Float prices
|
|
Growth of glass as a modern building material |
|
|
Environmentally friendly |
|
|
Customer preference |
|
|
Value Addition |
|
|
Premiumization |
|
|
Consolidation in downstream: Processing, Windows,
Fabrication |
|
|
Creation of AIS Consumer Glass |
|
|
3rd Float Opportunity: In-house demand, Highly
competitive, Good IRR |
|
The macro performance of our dear country held many surprises (most of
them salutary). No one expected an incredible growth of 8.2% in our GDP, a consensus
6.5-7% for FY 2024-25; core inflation further reduced from 4.3% in April 2023 to 3.1% June
2024; a CAD of 0.7 %; fiscal deficit of 5.6 %, reducing to 4.9 % by FY 2024-25, highest
corporate profitability @ 4.8 % of GDP, NPA?s at 3.4 %; plus many more indicators
pointing to the robust health and improved resilience of the Indian economy.
As we Step Up to 2030, the prospects look very favorable and
sustainable. A doubling of GDP in nominal terms, of PV?s in Auto, 500 GW?s of
renewable energy, real estate at $ 1 Trillion so many indicators pointing to a
virtuous cycle in a massive country, a young country, one that believes in
entrepreneurship and education, which is only at less than $3,000 per capita income with a
long runway to $5,000 by 2030, and $15,000 by 2047- all of it very doable because even
that massive number of 2047 is 25% of what the developed world is today.
Should this be humbling because we are so far behind the developed
world? Or a cause for great optimism with the enormous opportunities this realistic
prospect will generate.
The balanced view must look at both positives and negatives. In that,
global political risk, rising protectionism, climate crises, rising populism, and in India
low consumption, low private investment, and level of unemployment, need addressal. At
least the weak forces internal to India seem to be on the cusp of improvement: rural
demand, private capex and therefore consumption are all set to rise. A look at Auto OEM
and component investments with just MSIL investing more than Rs 1 trillion by 2030
is a huge cause for optimism. A virtuous cycle will also improve employment and the
many initiatives to improve skills and employability will match the supply of vast numbers
to the demand for them with the correct skill sets.
To be well positioned in India at this time is to be Lucky. AIS with 37
years of sweat and expertise has earned the Right to Step Up its performance and ride the
great and evolving India Story.
AIS Performance:
AIS had the highest revenue at Rs 4,366 Crs in its history.
Unfortunately, our margins slipped and our overall profitability and health ratios were
lower than last year:
Consolidated |
2022-23 |
2023-24 |
Change % |
Total Revenue |
4,36,586 |
4,03,515 |
8% |
PBDIT |
81,124 |
74,722 |
-8% |
PBDIT Margin |
20% |
17% |
|
PBIT |
65,159 |
57,038 |
-12% |
PBIT Margin |
16% |
13% |
|
PAT |
34,532 |
31,697 |
-8% |
EPS |
15.01 |
13.49 |
-10% |
ROCE |
19% |
ALIGN='RIGHT'>16% |
|
The simple explanation would be the reduction in Float margin from
30.03% in FY 2022-23 to 17.70% in FY 2023-24 caused by a surge in imports at dumping
prices and addition to capacity in India. This by itself more than explains the
compression of profit and margins. But there were other weaknesses that also contributed
to this compression, namely: Slight delays in vertical startup of new projects and cost
increases in certain inputs like raw materials and energy.
Our operational performance got impacted due to various external and
internal reasons. Our dedicated employees, supplier partners, and customers are working
tirelessly to improve the same. In an era where volatility is the norm, disruption is the
standard, our agility and response time to adapt, adjust and control needs to get better
and faster.
It?s a work in progress which we will convert into an opportunity
to be a stronger organization. For that robustness, we are working assiduously to be:
Flexible; increase local design and development; reduce cost of wastages; improve
operational excellence; harness the power of digitalization, machine learning,
manufacturing 4.0, AI; localization; sustainability; skill advancement; tier 2
improvement; cyber security; all of it under the umbrella of a holistic TQM
management?s rigor and discipline.
At the same time, we are scaling up and investing strongly with
world-class facilities but with financially prudent norms.
Progress on AIS?s Plan
1. Phase 2 expansion of Patan Automotive glass plant is completed -
Work on phase 3 has started
2. Successful development of "Illuminated laminated panoramic
sunroof"
3. Successful development of laminated sidelites for EVs
4. Award from Hyundai for "Excellence in Sustainability
Drive"
5. Our Sunroof business grew 60% last year and is expected to continue
to grow much faster in the coming years
6. Our 3rd Float plant in Soniyana, Rajasthan (F3) is nearing its date
to start production by the end of 2024.
7. Use of "Green Hydrogen" at our F3 plant first in
Indian Float Glass Industry
8. Our FRG (fire rated glass) plant is operational
Our capex in FY 2023-24 was at Rs 901 Crs. With major capex of another
~Rs 1,500 Crs in FY 2024-25, we would have largely completed our capex plans to Step Up to
the next level of revenue and profitability. Most of this spend is for Auto and vertical
integration of Auto through F3 as part of our deep localization program with much lower
risk.
The debt we are incurring is judicious for buildup of profitable assets
in existing businesses, and sensible amounts for futuristic businesses. We believe the
increase in debt from Rs 1,353 Cr to 1,878 Cr in FY 2023-24 is prudent with a D/E ratio
of 0.8 and is only for productive purposes. The benefits of a healthy mix of debt and
internal accruals funded expansion will start flowing in FY 2024-25 and hopefully really
accelerate in the years after.
I am also very proud to update that our biggest customer- MSIL has
continued to repose faith in AIS by allowing us a plot of land for "On-Site Assembly
Unit" at their plant under construction at Kharkhoda (Haryana). We thank MSIL for
this opportunity and are fully geared up to partner with MSIL in its journey to 4 million.
I am also happy to update that AIS continued to make good progress on
all fronts of its ESG commitments. Besides the required compliances, AIS is evaluating all
its GHG emissions and taking suitable countermeasures to reduce our carbon footprint. At
AIS Auto plant, we are deeply grati_ed that approx. 33-50% of our energy requirements at
many plants are met through renewable sources. We are working with experts and state
governments to find ways to substantially increase our use of renewable energy in all our
plants. Last year, we took a significant step in the use of "green hydrogen" at
our upcoming greenfield F3 plant in Rajasthan. We are continuously exploring more avenues
to substantially reduce our carbon footprint.
We deeply miss the loss of our Director Mr. GS Talwar who passed away
on 27th Jan, 2024. Mr. Talwar has been a doyen of Indian entrepreneurship whose advice and
guidance to AIS Board will be immensely missed. Besides bringing his global expertise and
strategic value to all discussions at the board, Mr. Talwar deeply believed and encouraged
AIS in taking sensible risks for profitable growth. Mr. Taguchi and Mr. Rahul Rana,
Independent Directors completed their respective terms successfully during the year as we
welcomed Mr. Yoshino to our Board. On behalf of the Board, a special thanks to Mr. Rahul
Rana for his 19 years of service on AIS Board, and for always being a friend and guide to
AIS. Mr. Rana?s contribution as Member and Chairman of the Audit and Risk Management
Committee of AIS is highly valued. I thank all my Board colleagues for their constant
support and guidance to AIS throughout the year. Based on the financial performance of AIS
and our large investments ahead, I am happy that the Board recommended a dividend of Rs
2/- (200%) on equity shares of AIS for FY 2023-24. The same shall be remitted to all our
shareholders post-approval at our Annual General Meeting as per due compliance.
Looking Ahead
We firmly believe our biggest strength is the trust of our customers
and employees. It is our greatest pride that we hardly ever lose an important customer and
have extremely low attrition in our key management and associate personnel. Everything we
do is built on this foundation of long-term trust and belief.
We are keenly attuned to the rapidly evolving SEQCDDM requirements of
our customers. Along with once in a generation opportunity, there is also highly enhanced
volatility. Waves of change in customer tastes, customer a_ordability, regulatory
tightening, global standards, brutal competition, and unprecedented advancement of
technological change with digitalization, online commerce, RPA, flexible manufacturing,
AI, Machine Learning, Augmented Reality, EV and Hybrid Powertrains, to name just a few,
bu_eting society as a whole with a new set of winners and losers. Earlier, one or two
game-changing technology breakthroughs would define a generation. Now there may be 8-10
that are upending the marketplace in a decade. The environment is fraught with hard to
define risk.
At AIS, we embrace this complexity and uncertainty. It gives us an
opportunity to differentiate ourselves with our fact-based management system of PDCA
(Plan, Do, Check, Act) which constantly identifies gaps, looks for root causes, and acts
with speed and agility to close any Gap. Equally, it anticipates change and allows us to
position ourselves in advance of our customer requirements. Our auto plant at Patan is an
example of this PDCA approach.
While in 2017, it was not at all clear that Gujarat/ Western India
could justify an Auto demand for 2.5 million glass sets per annum, we believed after the
full optimization of North and South, our major customers would definitely invest in
global scale in the West for the local market and also for the forecasted boom in exports.
Today, that leap of belief in investing in a state-of-art, environmentally friendly,
global-scaled plant is fully justified with a strong likelihood of further expansion in a
few years, even more than we had anticipated. In all our businesses we are constantly
striving to meet the holistic needs of our customers. Without a deeply satisfied customer,
every day, every year, forever, there is no business case for prosperity or even survival.
The team at AIS lives and breathes this belief 24/7/365. We will answer your call in 3
rings and be at your service.
On behalf of the Board, I would like to thank all our stakeholders,
including our customers, employees, partners, suppliers, shareholders, policymakers, and
the communities around our various manufacturing facilities for their continued support to
AIS in FY 2023-24. We continue to look forward for your support and encouragement in
coming years as well.
Sanjay Labroo
Chairman & Managing Director