Dear shareholders,
I am pleased to inform that your company reported highest ever revenue
from operations at ?390 Crore, up 48% y-o-y and net profit at ?53 Crore, up 56% y-o-y for
FY24. During the year, inflation in India (as also across the world) cooled down although
it continued to remain higher than RBI comfort zone. Nevertheless, by March 2024, CPI
inflation in India fell to 4.9% compared to highs of 7.4% seen in September 2022. Energy
prices continued to remain high in FY24 as brent crude oil price broadly remained firm
(over $80/bbl). Towards the end of FY24, crude oil prices were further supported by
conflict between Israel and Hamas. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East region does
impact the world economy in many ways, including energy prices, trade, investments,
geopolitical tensions and humanitarian impact. Despite these factors, India's real GDP
growth in FY24 is estimated to have grown at 7.3% compared to 7.2% in FY23, as per the
first advance estimates of national income released by the National Statistical Office.
Aided by economic growth, the direct tax collection increased 18% y-o-y to ?19.6 Trillion.
As a result, India's Tax-GDP ratio stood around 11%, a sharp rise from the 8% levels
during the pre-GST era. Overall, the Indian economy remained resilient through FY24,
despite numerous domestic and global headwinds. While inflation has come off globally
during FY24, the disruption caused by geopolitical conflicts has pushed up commodity
prices which have delayed interest rate cuts. Looking ahead, higher commodity prices are
likely to impact consumer demand and impact the profitability of manufacturing units.
One of the most significant pain points for most large global economies
was the rising interest rates in the wake of decadal high inflation. Nevertheless, despite
high inflation, the US real GDP remained resilient in 2023 growing at 2.5% on a y-o-y
basis. However, tighter monetary policy may remain a drag on economic activity and
employment in most major economies in 2024. World GDP is forecasted to have grown at 3.2%
in 2023 and is expected to growth at 3.2% each during 2024 and 2025 as per IMF. Inflation,
which was at the heart of the economic woes, moderated through the year, but a sustained
decline to central bank targets does not seem imminent. For instance, inflation in the US
has moderated from 9.0% in June 2022 to 3.5% by March 2024 but is still way above the 2%
target of the US Fed. Consequently, the US central bank's policy rate is now in a
target range of 5.25% - 5.50%, the highest level in 15 years, and more notably, it was
near zero in early 2022. As far as China was concerned, it continues to face slowdown in
its GDP growth. IMF projects China's economic growth would drop to 4.6% in 2024, down from
its 5.2% growth in 2023, and fall further to 3.4% by 2028. Its real estate investment is
likely to fall 30% to 60% in the next ten years relative to 2022 levels.
Reflecting on the resilience of the Indian economy, we can say that the
Indian equity markets have managed to outperform most other large markets. For FY24, Nifty
increased by 29% while midcap index was up 60% and small cap index jumped by staggering
70%.
Despite high inflation and upcoming central elections, the Indian
market's resilience necessitates notice even as it came in the face of the ongoing
Iran- Israel conflict, aggressive monetary policy, high inflation rate and high commodity
prices. Regarding capital flows in the equity markets, FIIs and DIIs were net buyers to
the tune of ?2.0 lakh Crore and ?2.1 lakh Crore, respectively. DII buying was led by
sustained inflows into mutual funds from retail investors (Gross SIP flows stood at all
time high at ?19,271 Crore in March 2024). Retail investors held their nerves and have
become a formidable force in the domestic equity markets. This has been a significant
positive for the broking industry. The total number of demat accounts in India has reached
a new high of 15.1 Crore as of 31st March 2024. During FY24, the number of
demat account added stood at 3.7 Crore compared to ?2.5 Crore in FY23. Banks' balance
sheets have improved remarkably over the past two years and they are ready to fund the
next leg of corporate capex over the coming years.
Between April 2023 and March 2024, the average daily turnover in the
cash segment jumped over 98%, which showcases the strong demand for equity among
investors. Overall, the monthly cash segment ADTO of NSE clocked ?82,406 Crore in FY24
compared to ?53,434 Crore in FY23, representing an increase of 54% on a y-o-y basis.
Regarding the bond market, India's 10 year yield fell ~30bps to 7.1% by end of FY24,
reflecting likely fall in interest rate over the coming one year. During H1FY24, the bond
yields increased while it fell towards the end of the year. The outlook on global economic
front is uncertain in FY25. While the geopolitical issues continue to keep the supply side
tight, the global rate-tightening cycle is ending. Inflation has likely peaked out and is
expected to moderate further during FY2024-25. However, the impact of ravaging inflation
and the stickiness of high interest rates must be gauged and remains one of the most
critical uncertainties. As far as India is concerned, India's GDP growth is likely to
grow by 7% in FY25 as per RBI.
During FY24, your Company recorded Total Revenue of ?395 Crore compared
to ?279 Crore in FY23, an increase of 42% y-o-y mainly led by higher interest income,
higher fees and commissions. The Profit Before Tax stood at ?69 Crore for FY24 compared to
?47 Crore for FY23, an increase of 48% y-o-y. Your Company constantly strives for product
innovations to elevate customer experience and promote customer delight. During September
2022, your Company had launched the new trading app for seamless and faster execution and
interactive charting tools and analysis - the benefits of which has accrued in FY24 and
are likely to continue going forward. Also, we had launched Integrated third- party
advisory platforms offering DIY assistance for customers to make informed decisions based
on benchmark model portfolios for their equity-led wealth creation journey. In August
2023, Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India granted the license to your
Company to venture into Corporate Agency business as corporate agent and to distribute
products of Life Insurance, Health Insurance & General Insurance. Your Company
continued its efforts to educate customers on the various aspects of investing/trading
vide research- led webinars and the creation of instructional videos. In this era of
higher interest rates, global macroeconomic uncertainty and constant industry dynamics,
your Company is committed to being a leader and role model in all facets of its business
by striving to be the best in class. As we advance, the three key factors that shall drive
your Company's growth and ensure sustainability are digital transformation,
diversifying revenue streams and a wider reach and customer base.
Yours Sincerely, |
GOPI KRISHNA TULSIAN |
Chairman |